These numbers reflect delegate percentages and totals and not popular vote percentages. Sanders would get about 51.5% of the delegates with these numbers, 1948/3768.

1270 of the delegates will be assigned on March 3rd or earlier. 157 in the 4 early states and 1113 on Super Tuesday itself. Potentially another 144 delegates could come on Super Tuesday if Minnesota and Colorado hold their primary and caucus respectively that day. That would be a big boost to Bernie. The total would then be 1257 on Super Tuesday and 157 before it.

Another 856 delegates will be assigned from March 7th to March 17th bringing the total up to 2270 delegates. That is roughly 60% of the delegates by March 17th.

406 delegates in April states, 223 in May states, 242 in June, and 600 or so in states or territories who have not yet been assigned conclusive dates including Washington, 101 delegates, and New York, 224 delegates.

State Delegates Bernie’s Target 2016 % Date/Format
California 416 35%+ (147) 46.5% March 3rd/Primary
Texas 228 45%+ (103) 33.8% March 3rd/Primary
New York 224 40%+ (90) 43.7% Unknown/Primary
Florida 219 40%+ (90) 34.1% March 17th/Primary
Illinois 155 55%+ (80) 49.4% March 17th/Primary
Pennsylvania 153 60%+ (80) 43.9% April 28th/Primary
Ohio 136 60%+ (75) 43.4% March 10th/Primary
Michigan 125 65%+ (81) 51.5% March 10th/Primary
North Carolina 110 55%+ (61) 43.9% March 3rd/Primary
New Jersey 107 50%+ (54) 37.3 June 2nd/Primary
Georgia 105 35%+ (40) 28.4% Unknown/Primary
Washington 101 70%+ (71) 73.3% Unknown/Caucus
Virginia 99 45%+ (45) 34.7% March 3rd/Primary
Massachusetts 91 65%+ (59) 49.5% March 3rd/Primary
Maryland 79 50%+ (40) 36.8% April 28th/Primary
Minnesota 77 65%+ (50) 59.7% March ?/Primary
Wisconsin 77 65%+ (50) 55.8% April 7th/Primary
Indiana 70 70%+ (49) 53.0% May 5th/Primary
Missouri 68 65%+ (44) 49.3% March 10th/Primary
Arizona 67 55%+ (37) 44.0% March 17th/Primary
Colorado 67 55%+ (37) 62.1% March ?/Caucus
Tennessee 64 60%+ (38) 34.3% March 3rd/Primary
Connecticut 64 55%+ (35) 49.1% April 28th,/Primary
South Carolina 54 35%+ (19) 26.4% February 29th/Primary
Alabama 52 30%+ (17) 17.0% March 3rd/Primary
Oregon 52 70%+ (40) 59.0% May 19th/Primary
Puerto Rico 51 45%+ (24) 38.3% June 7th/Primary
Louisiana 50 35%+ (17) 27.5% March 7th/Primary
Kentucky 46 70%+ (32) 49.1% May 19th/Primary
Iowa 44 40%+ (18) 47.7% February 3rd/Caucus
Oklahoma 37 80%+ (30) 55.3% March 3rd/Primary
Mississippi 36 40%+ (14) 13.9% March 10th/Primary
Nevada 35 50%+ (18) 42.9% February 22nd/Caucus
Kansas 33 80%+ (26) 69.7% Unknown/Caucus
Arkansas 31 60%+ (19) 31.3% May 19th/Primary
Utah 29 70%+ (20) 81.2% Unknown/Caucus
New Mexico 29 55%+ (16) 47.1% June 2nd/Primary
Nebraska 25 80%+ (20) 60.0% Unknown/Primary
New Hampshire 24 50%+ (12) 62.5% February 11th/Primary
Maine 24 80%+ (19) 68.0% Unknown/Caucus
West Virginia 24 80%+ (19) 62.1% May 12th/Primary
Hawaii 22 80%+ (18) 68.0% Unknown/Caucus
Rhode Island 21 80%+ (17) 54.2% April 28th/Primary
Idaho 20 80%+ (16) 78.3% Unknown/Primary
Delaware 17 80%+ (14) 42.9% April 28th/Primary
Vermont 16 100% (16) 100% March 3rd/Primary
Montana 16 100% (16) 52.4% June 2nd/Primary
Alaska 14 100% (14) 81.3% Unknown/Caucus
North Dakota 14 100% (14) 72.2% Unknown/Caucus
South Dakota 14 100% (14) 50.0% June 2nd/Primary
Wyoming 13 100% (13) 50.0% Unknown/Caucus